Rugby World Cup Betting - New Zealand
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New Zealand - Back In Black
As with each of the five Rugby World Cups since the competition’s inception in 1987, New Zealand start as strong favourites for the 2007 event in France starting on September 7th. Since leading online sportsbook, PinnacleSports.com, first posted markets for the competition, the All Blacks have attracted continued support, and following a winter of convincing victories over all the major rugby powers, the current price in PinnacleSports.com’s Rugby World Cup betting market of 1.429 represents the best available value for New Zealand.
All Black captain, David Kirk, was the first recipient of the Webb Ellis Trophy back in 1987 when the Kiwis justified favouritism with a convincing 29-9 victory over France. It has however, been a constant source of consternation and dismay for New Zealand fans, and backers alike, that they have since failed to repeat their success at the inaugural event.
The All Blacks are the only team to have reached the semi-finals in every tournament, bulldozing aside lesser nations along the way, but in each of the last four World Cups, despite heading the betting markets, they have been thwarted. In 1991 it was the magic of Australia’s mercurial winger, David Campese in the last four; in 1995 food poisoning and resolute South African defending defeated them in the final; in 1999 French flair and innovative play floored them in the semi’s, while in 2003 in Australia, the Wallabies focused on their Achilles Heel (scrimmaging and rucking) to pull off an unlikely semi-final win.
It is difficult to highlight the strengths of the current All Black side, because there are so many. Coach, Graham Henry, has quality throughout his squad, though naturally the focus is on their playmaker, Daniel Carter, regarded as the best no.10 in the world; it is crucial for New Zealand that he remains fit. The All Blacks completed an unbeaten Northern Hemisphere tour -featuring record away wins over France, England, Ireland, Scotland and Wales - but the mid-year Tests hardly represented a worthy yard-stick for his side and there are dangers in peaking too early. They lifted the 2007 Tri-Nations Trophy but weren’t convincing in the away fixtures. Perhaps the one team that could beat New Zealand are themselves. Every player will be aware of the legacy of failure they have inherited and the weight of expectation that it brings, so the real question bettors must ask is whether the All Blacks can handle the pressure?
If a solid argument can be made against New Zealand, of the remaining 19 teams the market at PinnacleSports.com, always a good indication of sharp money, suggests there are only a handful of credible alternatives, with even the likes of established sides such as Wales and Argentina rated bigger than 70/1 for glory.
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